Case Study: Advancing OT Cyber Risk Assessment Through CyberBowtie Methodology Development

Case Study

A Global Integrated O&G operator sought to modernize its approach to OT cyber risk assessment by adopting a structured, repeatable methodology capable of quantifying cyber‑physical risk across complex operational environments. The organization engaged Armexa to design and deliver a customized OT cyber risk assessment framework, based on industry standards such as ISA/IEC 62443-3-2, to evaluate effectiveness of existing safeguards, strengthen risk communication, and align cybersecurity practices with enterprise risk tolerance criteria.

Problem     

The client required a cyber risk assessment method that could bridge the gap between traditional process safety practices and emerging OT/ICS cybersecurity challenges. Existing assessment processes lacked consistency, did not fully account for cyber‑initiated threat scenarios, and offered limited ability to quantify likelihood in a transparent, defensible way.
Key obstacles included:

  • Inconsistent documentation of threats, safeguards, and consequences across sites.
  • Difficulty aligning cyber scenarios with corporate risk matrices designed for physical‑process hazards.
  • Limited integration between cybersecurity analysis and existing PHA work processes.
  • Need for a scalable approach that could support global facilities and diverse industrial systems.


Solution     

Armexa developed and delivered a tailored CyberBowtie methodology, toolkit, and operational workflow purpose‑built for OT cyber‑physical risk assessment. The solution included:

  • Custom PHA‑Pro CyberBowtie Template & Library
    A governed template and safeguard library designed to standardize threat modeling, consequence analysis, and safeguard evaluation across OT environments.
  • Quantitative Likelihood Model Using FAIR‑Based Principles
    Integration of structured likelihood factors—threat frequency, source, exploitability, and difficulty—with annualized event rate calculations aligned to the client’s corporate risk matrix.
  • Three‑Day Facilitated Workshop
    Armexa SMEs conducted onsite working sessions to guide assessors through scenario development, template use, safeguard effectiveness evaluation, and Bowtie diagram completion.
  • Automated Linkage to Corporate Risk Tolerance Framework
    Built‑in logic to translate likelihood and consequence severity into consistent residual‑risk ratings using the client’s approved Cybersecurity Risk Tolerance Matrix.
  • Knowledge Transfer & Documentation
    Delivery of a comprehensive operations manual, reference materials, and hands‑on training to equip internal cyber assessors for ongoing, scalable use of the methodology.

Outcome / Benefits / Impact

The engagement resulted in a fully operational OT cyber risk assessment methodology adopted across the client’s organization. Key benefits included:

  • Repeatable, Defensible Assessments
    A standardized approach that ensures consistent interpretation of cyber threats, safeguards, and risk outcomes across teams and sites.
  • Improved Alignment Between Cybersecurity and Process Safety
    Integration of cyber‑initiated events into established PHA processes strengthened communication between OT, IT, and risk stakeholders.
  • Enhanced Risk Visibility
    Built‑in reporting and visualization tools enabled clearer understanding of residual risk and prioritization of mitigation efforts.
  • Scalability Across the Enterprise
    The customized template, governed safeguard library, and structured methodology support roll‑out across additional operational units and future assessments.
  • Accelerated Assessor Capability
    Through training and documentation, internal teams gained the ability to independently manage assessments and maintain the methodology.
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Industry     

Energy & Industrial Operations

Environment

Operational technology environments with cyber‑physical systems, process units, and safety‑critical industrial control systems leveraged across multiple facilities.

Related Services

  • OT Cyber Risk Assessment
  • Bowtie Analysis & Methodology Development
  • OT/ICS Cybersecurity Program Design
  • FAIR‑Based Likelihood Modeling
  • PHA‑Pro Integration & Template Development
  • Cybersecurity Workshops & SME Facilitation

 

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